煤炭工程 ›› 2017, Vol. 49 ›› Issue (2): 97-99.doi: 10.11799/ce201702030

• 研究探讨 • 上一篇    下一篇

钻孔瓦斯有效抽采半径预测方法探讨

王晓峰   

  1. 中煤科工集团沈阳研究院
  • 收稿日期:2015-12-10 修回日期:2016-03-24 出版日期:2017-02-09 发布日期:2017-03-09
  • 通讯作者: 王晓峰 E-mail:185682387@qq.com

Study on Prediction Method of Effective Drainage Radius of Drilling Gas

  • Received:2015-12-10 Revised:2016-03-24 Online:2017-02-09 Published:2017-03-09

摘要: 解析了钻孔瓦斯有效抽采半径测定存在的受限因素,分析了压力指标法测定参数之间的灰度关系。建立了灰度预测模型并进行数据预测和现象实测数据比较,提出了压力指标法考察钻孔瓦斯有效抽采半径的灰度预测理论。预测结论为在第25天表压值降至最大值的56%以下,并随着观测时间的累计,预测的表压值具有持续下降的趋势,与现场实测的第23天数据指标相差仅2d。研究结果表明,灰度预测模型的引入为克服考察钻孔瓦斯有效抽采半径过程中的难点问题提供了可靠的预测理论依据和比对参照数据。

关键词: 钻孔瓦斯有效抽采半径, 瓦斯抽采, 压力指标法, 灰度预测

Abstract: The article presents the difficulties of drilling gas effective extracting radius inspection process, analyzes the grey-scale relations of measuring parameters using the method of stress index. Establishes a gray prediction model and compares the data with the measured data, presents the grey forecasting theory of the effective drainage radius of borehole gas. The conclusion is to predict the maximum value in the twenty-fifth day to the pressure gauge is below 56%, and with the total observation time, prediction of the gauge has continued to decline, and measured twenty-third days of data is only 2 days.. The research results show that the grey forecasting model is proposed, in order to overcome the difficulties in the process of extracting the effective drainage radius of effective drainage radius of drilling gas, a reliable theoretical basis and data comparison are provided.

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